NFL gambling odds for undefeated teams

NFL gambling odds involving undefeated teams can be complicated NFL odds to handicap because you are not sure the limit of such a team’s ability.  After the first quarter of the NFL season there generally remains a handful of undefeated teams, yet gamblers examining the NFL gambling odds know that such teams will almost undoubtedly lose sometime during the season.  Nevertheless, one must assess the NFL odds for any match up based on past performances, not assumptions about the inevitability of losses.

NFL gambling odds are naturally challenging to handicap when you have never seen one of the teams involved in the NFL gambling odds lose.  After you watch a team lose you see the level of play that the team is unable to achieve and a game plan that can be used successfully by opponents.  For instance, you may find that a team featured in the NFL gambling odds struggles in inclement weather or against teams with a very strong rushing attack, and these insights will assist your analysis of future NFL gambling odds.  However, for teams that remain undefeated, even after numerous games it can be hard to determine what factors will cause the teams to lose.  Basically, as you handicap the NFL odds for such teams the wisest approach is to look at places where a team has struggled, such as against certain offensive or defensive schemes.

As the season progresses into Weeks 5, 6, and 7, probably only a very small number of teams will remain undefeated.  Because it is so incredibly rare for a team to finish the regular season undefeated, many gamblers examining the NFL gambling odds form the opinion that each team will inevitably lose during the course of the season.  However, while it is true that a team will likely lose before the season is over, that fact should not necessarily impact your analysis of the team’s NFL gambling odds.  The team will simply lose when it is outmatched, so the supposed inevitability of losing a game should not enter into your examination of the NFL gambling odds.

Doing so is based on an erroneous understanding of probability, similar to the commonly held false belief that if a flipped coin lands heads three times in a row then there is a greater chance it will land tails on the next flip.  The only NFL gambling odds for which you should consider the likelihood a team will lose before the end of the season is with a prop bet offered within the NFL gambling odds regarding a team finishing the season undefeated.  Such NFL gambling odds frequently become available if a team remains undefeated late in the season.  When handicapping such NFL odds it should be remembered that achieving an undefeated season is extremely rare, but not unprecedented.